Global and regional multi-model evaluation indicates strong warming and drying of the Mediterranean region. Best models currently for Israel at the 20/50 km scale are good for temperature. For precipitation, models sometimes still need bias correction primarily due to orographic effects. Precipitation predictions: Japanese and RCM models both show increased interannual variability and probability of multi-year droughts. Additional information from other climate models will improve our ability to answer questions such as “what is the probability that there will be a multi-year drought or severe heat wave in the coming decade?” and help inform our policy and adaptive response. I will also present a method for separating regional vs. local climatic effects with an example with the Dead-Sea evaporation. In addition, I will briefly review our innovative method for monitoring the atmosphere with data from the cellular communication systems. (Prof. Dr. Pinhas Alpert)

Diese Veranstaltung ist Teil der Reihe Karlsruher Meteorologisches Kolloquium

Referent/in
Prof. Dr. Pinhas Alpert

Tel-Aviv University, ISRAEL
Head of the Porter School of Environmental Studies Department of Geophysics and Planetary Sciences

Zielgruppe
Wissenschaftliche Mitarbeitende