Dozenten: Prof. Dr. T. Leisner, Prof. Dr. P. Braesicke, Prof. Dr. A. Fink, PD Dr. M. Höpfner, Prof. Dr. C. Hoose, Prof. Dr. P. Knippertz, PD Dr. M. Kunz, Prof. Dr. J. Pinto
Veranstaltungskalender
Analysis and forecast of extreme precipitation events over the Sahel from synoptic to interannual scale
Over the recent decades, extreme precipitation events (EPEs) have become more frequent over the Sahel. Their properties, however, have so far received little attention. I will present their spatial distribution, intensity, seasonality, and interannual variability of EPEs using most of the available precipitation products to draw a common beheaviour of EPE over the Sahel. A particular attention has been paid to Burkina Faso where a dense rain gauge network has been made accessible. This dataset is used as a reference to evaluate the gridded products at seasonal and interannual scale. Based on the reference dataset, the meteorological factors leading to a typical EPE are then analysed at synoptic scale using a composite analysis. It shows the role of tropical waves as key drivers of the variability of precipitation. The last part of the talk will present a forecast-research iniative between Meteo-France and several Sahelian Meterological Services (MISVA) which seek to translate our current knowledge of the drivers of precipitation variability into forecast products at synoptic, subseasonal and seasonal scale.
Dr. Philippe Peyrille
Météo France & CNRS, Toulouse, F
IMK-TRO
Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research
KIT
Wolfgang-Gaede-Str. 1
76131 Karlsruhe
Tel: 0721 608 43356
E-Mail: imk-tro ∂ kit edu
https://www.imk-tro.kit.edu
Hinweise
"CS" - KIT-Campus Süd (Universität), Gebäude 30.23 (Physikhochhaus), Seminarraum 13/2
"CN" - KIT-Campus Nord (Forschungszentrum), Gebäude 435 (IMK), Raum 2.05
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